Another October Surprise?
Posted by StormWarning on 05 Sep 2008 at 09:42 pm | Tagged as: International Issues, Pakistan, September 11
If you are student of history, is it that far fetched that as the Presidential Election nears that another October Surprise would sprout? Back in 1980, when the concept of “October Surprise” was first coined. Now, conspiracy theorists and analysts alike are conjecturing about what new revelation could occur before this election. I’ve wondered how our Intel could not ID bin Laden’s position, and “snagging” bin Laden has been my imperative for quite some time
Against the backdrop of the political turmoil in Pakistan, the U.S. is pressing to finally do what it should have done before. And therein lies the potential for the October surprise. And with it…surprise. President Bush will solidify his legacy and make it (alot) easier to defeat Obama.
The October surprise? Catch Osama, of course! Its always been a function of two key components: 1) intelligence and 2) U.S. ability to chase into Pakistan.
U.S. ground forces crossed the border from Afghanistan and attacked suspected al Qaeda targets in Pakistan on Wednesday as part of an aggressive new strategy to kill or capture Osama bin Laden before President Bush leaves office, U.S. officials said.
Don’t believe it? Read more here.
Pakistan is “protesting” the incursion, but really? Pakistan’s position is that it is a victim of terrorism.
The Pakistani Foreign Ministry called the raid “a grave provocation” and “a gross violation of Pakistan’s territory. … Such actions are counterproductive and certainly do not help our joint efforts to fight terrorism,” the ministry said. “On the contrary, they undermine the very basis of cooperation and may fuel the fire of hatred and violence that we are trying to extinguish.”
There have been stranger October Surprises before. And by the way, for those who are reading this because they saw it on Real Clear Politics, go ahead and “push that button” before it disappears from the front page…that is if the “spirit moves you” to do so.






How might the October surprise affect the November showdown?
If bin Laden were to be captured or confirmed killed, I think that it would cinch the Election for McCain.
I hope that this October Surprise is successful!
The very fact you’re posting about this is reason 1 to pull this off in September.
And the fact that I am posting about it is:
- odd since only CT blog wrote about it
- that it is unlikely to happen
We have stepped up attacks inside Pakistan, and the Pakistanis are protesting only openly for their own people, in my opinion. We have had operatives inside Pakistan for years, but we are just now openly announcing it.
Since it takes weeks sometimes to get word out, verify DNA, etc., they better get him NOW if they want the news to help the November election.
Putting the election aside, I would be thrilled if they got Osama ANY time. Hope you are correct.
I don’t know if I am correct or not on the “October Surprise.” I do know that I am not the only one who believes that both Afganistan and Pakistan are on shaky ground.
McCain makes a Halloween visit to the troops in Afghanistan. Just as he’s being filmed sipping coffee with some soldiers in the middle of nowhere,a tall bearded guy on a moped zips by and lobs a grenade. McCain calmly picks it up and throws it back,detonating and knocking the rider off the moped,injured but not dead. All this being caught on film, McCain walks over to the guy,realizes it’s Bin Laden,and holds him down while the soldiers tie him up to be brought back alive. OCTOBER SURPRISE ‘08
Very funny (NOT).